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Archive for September, 2008

Sep 29 2008

Bush Fires; US burn

Under Bush, Americans suffered two monumental disasters, all in September. In September 2001, terrorists attacked America, killing 5,000 people. Seven years later, a more lethal attack against America happened, this time threatening the very lives of each and every American. Again, it was both a failure in intelligence and plain and simple negligence.
Two disasters in two serious fronts. How will America recover from these huge bush fires? First, a real, physical threat now, a crisis in money.
Former president Bill Clinton said, a certain amount of regulation should be put in place to avert a further slide of the US economy towards recession. The British already did that, putting into regulation two troubled financial firms. Will the US do the same? Obviously, with the rejection of the bailout plan, the Bush administration will have to do it the hard way.
The US Congress sent a strong message with the rejection. For Bush, we don’t trust you. Bush failed on two fronts already–the global anti-terror campaign and the economy. Reports say the anti-terror campaign did not weaken Al Qaeda, despite the Bush administration forking billions of dollars worth of the people’s money. And now this.
I think the core issue lies on the lack or absence of trust. Americans have lost trust in Bush due to these failures.
Bush and his treasury chief are the ones to blame for the mistrust Americans have about this administration. During the first and second quarters of this year, Henry Paulson have been going the rounds, assuring the public that the US economy is on a recovery mode. With that, Bush gave a State of the Nation address, even mentioning that the government is having success in repairing the damaged economy. A few months after, disaster struck.
The solution is not a bailout. Government must try its best to tell people to again trust the system. Money will flow if people trust the system enough of their monies. 
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Sep 29 2008

Villar should be prosecuted for plunder

” Those who have no sin, let him cast the first stone,” said Jesus Christ when he spoke before a throng of Jews who accused a woman of adultery. No one threw a stone nor a pebble.

It is in this context that I ask Senators Jamby Madrigal and Ping Lacson–can you possibly say with all honesty that you did not use your power to influence any activity in government? Did you or did you not, in one instance or another, use your influence to push for a project?

Yes, they would probably tell me. Yes, there are instances where we used our standing to push for a project. But, this is different, Pat. We are casting a stone against Senate president Manny Villar because he used his influence to gain more money from his projects. We pushed for projects using our influence, yes, but we did not gain a single cent from it.

Imagine, Senator Enrile categorically saying that Villar did, indeed, requested for a double insertion in the C-5 project. Yes, Villar did that, and the good senator admitted it. He did push for that project because it would benefit his constituents. Yes, they will gain from the C-5 project, I agree, Mr. Villar. They’ll benefit from a flyover without a road. They’ll benefit from it, especially those living in your subdivisions.

Who pushed for the c-5 project to pass the properties of Brittany and Vista Land? Villar. Who gained from selling “right of way” properties worth 1,500 per square meter to 15,000 per square meter? Villar. And who’ll amass billions of billions of pesos from that C-5 extension road? Villar.

Madrigal and Lacson are right–this is not a political issue. No. This is plain and simple corruption or plunder even. Villar should be cruxified and jailed.

Erap and Jinggoy are laughing right now. Remember that Villar banged the gravel when he was Speaker of the House, after accusing Erap of plunder. Erap is now free, and those who accused him of crimes against the people, are those who are now being accused of the same. And this time, there’s no Jose Velardes.

Those who have no sin, let him cast the first stone.

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Sep 26 2008

Global Tensions Rising

The United States military has deployed a regular army unit inside the US mainland to deal with local insurgencies and possible civil unrest. This is the first time that the US government did this. The US State Department has considered contingency measures in the event of a possible outbreak of violence due to the worsening economic crisis.

Over at the US Congress, US Treasury Chief Paulson reportedly pleaded with Democratic congressmen not to reveal the close door theatrics displayed by politicians and financial experts discussing the $700 billion bailout proposal. Republicans are up in arms over the proposal, saying that it’s still a raw deal, which could not possibly end the increasing financial tensions. US President George Bush has said that the US is in for a long and painful recession, should Congress fail to pass the proposal. At this time though, things over at Washington seem to have turned from bad to worst, with politicians and officials fighting against each other. 
While the US tries to put out its financial fires, the Russian military has sent its fleet to South America, obviously as part of its global strategic military plan. In Iran, the tiny nuclear Islamic Republic is reportedly preparing for war, possibly against the United States and its allies. Analysts say, conflicts could possibly escalate after Ramadhan. Meanwhile, North Korea has banished nuclear inspectors and indicated a possible revival of its atomic energy programme.
Obviously, the enemies of the US are starting to flex their muscles. This financial crisis is more than a sneeze–its a serious illness which the world’s superpower could find hard to cure. While the strong man remains bedridden with financial woes, enemies are now in the midst of preparing themselves for possible confrontations since historically, the US resorts to its war machines when faced with extreme economic difficulties. War provides the needed push for its industries and the US could do the same thing given the seriousness of the crisis.
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Sep 25 2008

Lipton Milk Tea Tainted by Toxic China Milk

Have you bought or drank Lipton Milk tea lately? I’ve been scanning regional news reports and came across an item that says that Unilever already withdrew the Lipton green milk tea from the shelves off Taiwanese groceries and supermarkets after finding out that Unilever might have used tainted milk from Chinese companies. That tainted milk, my friends, contain melamine, a plastic resin used for manufacturing plastic cups and plates. 

How many boxes of Lipton Green milk tea are in the Philippine market? How many groceries and supermarkets here sells Lipton Green milk tea? The Department of Health and the Bureau of Food and Drugs (BFAD) should advise the Philippine Retailers Association or the Philippine Association of Groceries and Supermarkets to immediately take those Lipton Green Milk Tea from the shelves. These tea bags could cause many deaths since there’s a high concentration of the deadly chemical in them.
Unilever Philippines should be responsible enough to tell the people (a) how many boxes of its Lipton Milk tea are in the market (b) how many of those supplies came from Taiwan and Indonesia and (c) what are the measures being done by the company to protect the consumers from these toxic milk teas. 
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Sep 25 2008

Implosion of the Philippine State

Jose Montelibano’s article says it all. There’s a palpable tension in the air caused by the worsening economic crisis, coupled by a deepening political turmoil. People feel a deep resentment against the established order, and the obvious lack of leadership from organized change setters are further fueling the frustration. What we are seeing, says Montelibano, is a building up of tensions which is expected to lead to an implosion.

You can definitely see it coming. Huge throngs of people leaving the country, seeking greener pastures abroad. You see large numbers of families scraping everything they can find just to survive. Middle class families are drastically changing their lifestyles to fit their ever decreasing budgets. On the extreme side, you see normal poor families turning into neurotic ones, frustrated because they can’t feed themselves properly.

One obvious good from all these is the blossoming of the entrepreneurial spirit. Just go around Metro Manila, and you’ll see literally thousands of small nooks, eateries and what-have-yous scattered almost everywhere. The Filipino is finding their own solutions to the problem of the purse. Yet, with the national economy going to the bunker sooner or later due to serious attacks from the depressed global economy, we might see a further escalation of this deep seeded frustration in the next few months. 
What’s the solution? A change of governance before 2010 could change all these. What we need is a drastic change that would prop the people’s morale up. Without a political solution soon, we may yet find the people resorting to their own extra-constitutional means to lift themselves up from damnation
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Sep 23 2008

US as the world’s only financial superpower

Regulation, says former US President Bill Clinton is the solution to the US sub-prime crisis. Speaking at Dave Letterman’s show, Bill blames the American’s penchant for making money out of money which created this pyramidal financial web that now threatens the economy. What’s needed, says Bill, is for the Fed Reserve to infuse life in the economy, by absorbing the toxic debts, and enabling banks to free their books and expand their loan portfolios. That will allow American enterprises to still borrow money and support expansion of their businesses. Without expansion, the economy will continue to remain laggard and could seriously lead to depression.

Or, Washington could allow mortgagees to restructure their loans, making payments reasonably low to enable them to at least pay those amortizations. In this way at least, money would pour in instead of the present situation where there’s nothing coming in.

And Washington seems to be the obvious winner in all of these. By infusing $700 billion into the financial system, it would control most of the global financial institutions through loans. That will, in effect, make Washington the world’s biggest financial institution.

Some Americans are worried that the US will lose its global dominance due to this crisis. Yet, it’s the opposite. The US government, through the Federal Reserve, will now become the world’s only financial superpower should the US Congress allow Paulson and Bernanke’s bailout proposal.

If that happens, then the world has entered a New era of neo-imperialism. Scrumpeter maybe right that obviously capitalism dies within a cycle of 50 years, then, slowly comes to life through creative deconstruction. What we are now seeing is the death not of capitalism per se, but the rise of regulated capitalism. What will be the effects of this newer kind of capitalism? We will never know, says Bill Clinton.

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Sep 22 2008

Being personal for a change

Finally, I met Jester-in-Exile and some of the younger writers over at FilipinoVoices. I also met Manolo Quezon at the Philippine Blog Awards 2008. It’s really nice meeting fellow bloggers and it was just my second time to do so.

I’m not supposed to reveal who I was but there’s an itch to connect with those whom I consider as colleagues. And it is equally nice to know that Jester, Marochim and even their common friend, Maya, are all young people attending the University of the Philippines-Diliman. I told myself, there is still hope since my alma mater is still producing such fine young specimens of brilliance with a conscience.

Sometimes I think that it is time for me to rest my pen and pursue family interests. Because whenever I don my activist robe, I sacrifice my family. Truly, the time I’m spending with my family now, I consider the best of my life. For most of my young life, I spent pursuing causes which either nearly destroyed my professional career or put my life in extreme danger. The last four years are ones I consider stable since I’m blessed with jobs that provide me financial comfort. Yet, I’m still not that financially stable and it’s just 3 years before I reach 40.

My contemporaries are enjoying the prime of their careers. Mike Defensor, a classmate of mine, has his own companies and enjoying the fruits of his collaboration with Gloria. Same as Miro Quimbo and even Bong Bongolan. My batchmates at the University are now either here, practicing law or abroad with their families. I heard that I can only count with my fingers the number of classmates I have here, still living a tough life in this patch of earth, called home.

The ones we’ve beaten during our active university life are now political heavyweights. Alan Peter Cayetano, who lost his campaign against Angelo Jimenez for the UP Student Council plum post, is now a Senator defending his political patron, Senate president Manny Villar. Those who still hold the torch for the masses, they are those who still continue the struggle.

Sometimes I think that those years studying Marx, Engels, etc. are just worthless years since I’m not even using them in my job. My job requires me to think like Guy Kawasaki or a Nora Ephron or do the things that Charlie Agatep or Dante Ang or Babes Romualdes did in their prime. If I think like Marx, i’ll go wreck the establishment and probably de-construct it the way many people want it to be. But, would it be the best thing to do?

And sometimes, I blame myself for going back here. My years working in Singapore, I consider, truly the most memorable years of my life. Probably, I should not have left Singapore. It could have been great studying another Masters over at Nanyang Business School. Yet, I chose to raise a family instead of pursuing my intellectual interests.

I told Marochim that I tried to write lifestyle pieces. But I can’t. My soul lives and breathes politics. But, irony of ironies, I’m not directly involved in politics, just doing polemics. And I’m doing it just here, in the blogosphere. My years doing political work is probably over. I’m too out of touch and too far of reach by those who are still working for a Truly Just and Humane Philippine society.

And I’m probably doing okey, since my peers nominated me for the Best Blog in the Social, Historical and Political Commentary division. I lost eventually to a guy whose passion is to write about birds. Well, I could have wrote something about the Philippine eagle and probably, won? Like what the Rebel Pixel said, it’s not the award, it’s the peer recognition.

I long for the day when I can (a) make money out of a business which I have a passion about (b) not report to a boss (c) directly work for the liberation of the country from tyranny and (d) raise my family while building a country. Someday, I’ll do it. I’ll plunge myself into the entrepreneurial world and make history.

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Sep 21 2008

DBP in trouble?

Where is Development Bank of the Philippines president Rey David? Rumours have it that David is now in the States. And why there? Is it to attend the UN meeting? Maybe. Or maybe not. David had been away since the Lehman Brothers collapse. And why in the US?

Wagging tongues say he’s there with a mission–how to recoup US$160 million losses due to exposure to the Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch collapse. Is this true?

And why is GMA in the US? Official statements show that GMA went to the States to learn more about the US sub-prime crisis. Whattah? Meaning, Gloria wants to see first-hand what it means when people say “crisis”? She just needs to look around the Pasig river and she’ll already see and feel crisis.

Is there a connexion between GMA and David’s trips to the US? Has David been successful in mitigating the investment losses of the First Family, as some sectors alleged? Sectors say GMA and her husband the First Grafter, err, the First Golfer have incurred millions of dollars worth of failed investments in the US that David, a trusty lieutenant, has been tasked to “re-coup”.

Is this true?

Other sources say, wealthy Pinoys are frantically withdrawing their monies from foreign banks and trying to either setup their own or buy banks, especially rural banks. And sources say, that’s the plan of the First Famine, err, First Family, to try to get what’s left of their investments and re-invest locally. Is this true? Is there a “conjugal crisis” happening there in the Enchanted Kingdom?

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Sep 19 2008

Sub-prime crisis in RP not that serious enough

Signs that things will get worse before we see some comfort seems to be the current news. Yet, upon closer study of the global financial crisis, there are indications that things are really not that bad afterall, especially to the Philippines.

First, I realized that Gloria and her factotum, NEDA Chief Ralph Recto could have told us the truth that there will be minimal impact on the economy. But, it’s not because they prepared for this or because of VAT. No. It is the very nature of the Philippine economic superstructure that would probably insulate us from further serious damages to our financial institutions.

First, our financial structure is still underdeveloped. Exposure to riskier investments is minimal because our bankers are traditionalists. Most banks invest in long-term instruments, like bonds, and government-backed securities. We don’t have enough rogue traders to cause a downfall of our system simply because our bankers are mostly “seguristas”. They don’t play the games that big players do. Under normal circumstances, that’s foolish. Yet, Philippine bankers have foresight that foreign bankers don’t. That’s why local banks do not have huge exposures in foreign risk investments simply because our bankers are sophisticated enough to know the limits of playing risky. And they know what risk management really is.

Second, most foreign bank branches here are deposits-oriented and off-shore operations. They are mostly retail banks. We have a small number of investment banks, the kind that caters to big players and financial investors. The reason is obvious–most of our rich, wealthy brothers and sisters invest their monies abroad. And those monies are kept in long-term, high-yielding investments, mostly in term deposits. They can’t park their monies here for obvious reasons–they don’t trust our banks enough. Exposure would probably emanate from those who deposited their monies with banks that have exposures with Lehman and Merrill Lynch but they’ll not feel it simply because their monies are insured and guaranteed against risks.

Lastly, the number of maturing mortgages are small compared with those of the United States, or even Singapore and Hongkong. Upon closer scrunity, the BSP can very well absorb these. I don’t know about GSIS, SSS or Pag-Ibig and how exposed they are right now (since I have’nt found the time to study their declared financial statements), but the 30 billion peso problem of the National Home Mortgage Finance Corporation (NHMFC) could easily be absorbed.

The question is–how much money will the BSP actually absorb before it says “enough is enough”? That should be determined at this early and government should help banks not only through financial transfusions, but also in managing their books. I mean, government and the private banking groups should sit down, be transparent with each other, lay down their cards and focus on what contingency plans they should do if projections go to the wrong direction. There should be plan a, b,c and even d. Crisis management plans should be set in place in case tremours from the US sub-prime crisis hits us in areas where we least expect it. Yes, we see one potential problem–the effects of an economic slowdown.

Yet, this economic slowdown can be mitigated by (a) focusing our sights in Middle Eastern financial markets and probably seeking assistance there and (b) China. These two places have tons of money. By encouraging Middle Easterners and more Chinese investments in the country could mitigate the impact of the crisis. Likewise, encourage more Filipino professionals to go abroad especially in these areas so that the level of remittances will go even higher than what analysts say would be reduced due to the impact of a global slowdown.

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Sep 19 2008

Makati Cops Solicit Eyes From Traffic Violators

If you don’t want to lose your eyes, don’t violate any traffic rule in Makati City Philippines. That’s because traffic cops will get your two eye balls if you violate traffic rules.

Don’t believe it? Read this:

story at: http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/classified-odd/09/17/08/makati-cops-traffic-violators-stop-hand-me-your-eyes

So…for those kaskaseros out there, beware! Makati Cops are hunting for your eyes!

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